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2024-12-13 10:52:31

CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.According to informed sources, Switzerland and the European Union reached a compromise on the issue of immigration. The "Swiss Agreement" includes a new version of the immigration protection clause.Russia said it cracked down on several Ukrainian military equipment and repulsed Russia's multi-directional attacks. The Russian Defense Ministry issued a war report on the 12th, saying that in the past day, Russian armed forces killed and wounded 1,345 Ukrainian troops and destroyed many Ukrainian military equipment including tanks, armored vehicles and American howitzers. Russian air defense forces shot down four American-made "Haima" rockets and 37 drones of the Ukrainian army. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, there were 203 battles in the frontline area in the past day, and the situation on the frontline remained grim. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the direction of Kharkov, Pokrovsk and Kulahovo, the Ukrainian army repelled many Russian attacks. In addition, the Ukrainian army continued to carry out operations in the Kursk region.


A quick look at the authority of Xinhua News Agency | The Central Economic Work Conference in 2024 will set the tone for economic work next year.LME metal futures closed down, while LME copper futures closed down $100 to $9092/ton. LME aluminum closed down $2 to $2,600/ton. LME zinc futures closed down $50 to $3,075/ton. LME lead closed down $38 to $2006/ton. LME nickel futures closed up $310 to $16,168/ton. LME tin closed down $423 to $329,534/ton. LME cobalt was flat at $24,300/ton.ECB source: A few policy makers initially agreed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.


The previous crude oil futures 2401 contract closed up 1.51% at 545.40 yuan/barrel. Shanghai Gold closed down 0.59% and Shanghai Bank closed down 1.67%.Spot gold fell below $2,680 per ounce, down 1.38% in the day. COMEX gold futures fell 2.00% in the day and are now reported at $2701.50 per ounce.Google: Sony and other companies plan to use the Android XR operating system in their devices.

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